Chris MurphyFITTED MODEL

P · CWS · MLB

2.4

Projection

-2.3

Floor (p10)

6.4

Ceiling (p90)

38%

Boom (1.5x)

34%

Bust (0.6x)

3.0

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-07-02	@ CLE	3.8	-	-	-	0
2026-06-29	@ BAL	0.9	-	-	-	0
2026-06-28	vs KC	0.9	-	-	-	0
2026-06-24	vs CLE	7.0	-	-	-	2
2026-06-22	vs CLE	3.5	-	-	-	1
2026-06-20	@ DET	3.6	-	-	-	1
2026-06-19	@ DET	3.6	-	-	-	1
2026-06-16	@ NYY	1.7	-	-	-	2
2026-06-12	vs LAD	2.2	-	-	-	0
2026-06-03	@ MIN	8.7	-	-	-	3
2026-05-31	vs DET	1.2	-	-	-	0
2026-04-07	vs BAL	-1.7	-	-	-	0
2026-04-05	vs TOR	3.6	-	-	-	1
2026-04-04	vs TOR	-0.9	-	-	-	0
2026-04-01	@ MIA	6.1	-	-	-	3

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts