Sam BachmanFITTED MODEL

P · LAA · MLB

3.4

Projection

-1.1

Floor (p10)

7.6

Ceiling (p90)

29%

Boom (1.5x)

31%

Bust (0.6x)

2.1

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-07-02	@ SEA	3.6	-	-	-	1
2026-06-27	vs ATH	2.5	-	-	-	1
2026-06-24	vs BAL	4.2	-	-	-	1
2026-06-23	vs BAL	4.2	-	-	-	1
2026-06-21	@ ATH	2.2	-	-	-	0
2026-06-19	@ ATH	-3.0	-	-	-	0
2026-06-14	vs TB	-9.3	-	-	-	1
2026-06-10	vs HOU	3.0	-	-	-	1
2026-06-08	vs HOU	3.6	-	-	-	1
2026-06-07	@ LAD	2.8	-	-	-	1
2026-06-05	@ LAD	5.7	-	-	-	2
2026-05-30	@ TB	4.4	-	-	-	1
2026-05-28	@ DET	2.5	-	-	-	1
2026-05-24	vs TEX	4.5	-	-	-	2
2026-05-22	vs TEX	1.1	-	-	-	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts