Kyle BackhusFITTED MODEL

P · PHI · MLB

1.7

Projection

-2.9

Floor (p10)

5.7

Ceiling (p90)

42%

Boom (1.5x)

38%

Bust (0.6x)

1.7

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-07-02	vs PIT	1.6	-	-	-	1
2026-07-01	vs PIT	1.7	-	-	-	1
2026-06-28	@ NYM	0.9	-	-	-	0
2026-06-27	@ NYM	-1.6	-	-	-	1
2026-06-24	@ WSH	-1.1	-	-	-	0
2026-04-25	@ ATL	1.1	-	-	-	0
2026-04-24	@ ATL	2.2	-	-	-	0
2026-04-22	@ CHC	1.1	-	-	-	1
2026-04-20	@ CHC	3.5	-	-	-	1
2026-04-19	vs ATL	5.0	-	-	-	1
2026-04-15	vs CHC	6.0	-	-	-	3
2026-04-05	@ COL	6.2	-	-	-	2
2026-04-03	@ COL	3.5	-	-	-	1
2026-03-29	vs TEX	3.0	-	-	-	1
2026-03-26	vs TEX	-7.0	-	-	-	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts