Elvis AlvaradoFITTED MODEL

P · ATH · MLB

3.0

Projection

-1.4

Floor (p10)

6.7

Ceiling (p90)

31%

Boom (1.5x)

32%

Bust (0.6x)

3.7

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-30	vs LAD	1.5	-	-	-	0
2026-06-28	@ LAA	4.2	-	-	-	1
2026-06-26	@ LAA	4.2	-	-	-	1
2026-06-24	@ SF	-3.7	-	-	-	0
2026-06-21	vs LAA	4.5	-	-	-	3
2026-06-19	vs LAA	7.9	-	-	-	2
2026-06-16	vs PIT	-0.3	-	-	-	0
2026-06-13	vs COL	6.2	-	-	-	2
2026-06-10	vs MIL	6.2	-	-	-	2
2026-06-09	vs MIL	11.0	-	-	-	4
2026-06-06	@ HOU	9.9	-	-	-	3
2026-04-17	vs CWS	-1.1	-	-	-	3
2026-04-14	vs TEX	0.8	-	-	-	0
2026-04-12	@ NYM	0.8	-	-	-	0
2026-04-10	@ NYM	3.6	-	-	-	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts