Matthew LugoFITTED MODEL

OF · LAA · MLB

4.0

Projection

0.0

Floor (p10)

12.7

Ceiling (p90)

26%

Boom (1.5x)

54%

Bust (0.6x)

2.5

Avg (last 15)

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2025-09-12	@ SEA	0.0	0	0	0	-
2025-09-11	@ SEA	5.0	1	1	1	-
2025-09-09	vs MIN	3.0	1	1	0	-
2025-09-08	vs MIN	5.0	1	1	0	-
2025-09-07	vs ATH	0.0	0	0	0	-
2025-09-06	vs ATH	19.0	2	5	2	-
2025-09-05	vs ATH	0.0	0	0	0	-
2025-09-02	@ KC	0.0	0	0	0	-
2025-09-01	@ HOU	0.0	0	0	0	-
2025-08-31	@ HOU	0.0	0	0	0	-
2025-08-30	@ HOU	5.0	1	1	0	-
2025-08-27	@ TEX	0.0	0	0	0	-
2025-08-26	@ TEX	0.0	0	0	0	-
2025-08-24	vs CHC	0.0	0	0	0	-
2025-06-08	vs SEA	0.0	0	0	0	-

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts