AJ BlubaughFITTED MODEL

P · HOU · MLB

4.4

Projection

-3.2

Floor (p10)

13.0

Ceiling (p90)

30%

Boom (1.5x)

39%

Bust (0.6x)

6.3

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-07-01	vs MIN	10.8	-	-	-	3
2026-06-27	@ DET	7.3	-	-	-	2
2026-06-25	@ DET	9.9	-	-	-	3
2026-06-22	@ TOR	2.1	-	-	-	1
2026-06-20	vs CLE	8.2	-	-	-	3
2026-06-15	vs DET	6.7	-	-	-	2
2026-06-12	@ KC	7.3	-	-	-	2
2026-06-09	@ LAA	6.7	-	-	-	2
2026-06-06	vs ATH	8.5	-	-	-	2
2026-06-03	vs PIT	3.0	-	-	-	2
2026-06-02	vs PIT	5.0	-	-	-	3
2026-05-30	vs MIL	14.2	-	-	-	4
2026-05-26	@ TEX	0.7	-	-	-	0
2026-05-24	@ CHC	-0.7	-	-	-	0
2026-05-20	@ MIN	4.2	-	-	-	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts