Ryan GustoFITTED MODEL

P · MIA · MLB

5.5

Projection

-2.0

Floor (p10)

14.2

Ceiling (p90)

27%

Boom (1.5x)

35%

Bust (0.6x)

4.5

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-07-02	@ COL	0.6	-	-	-	2
2026-06-27	@ STL	12.5	-	-	-	4
2026-06-21	vs SF	16.8	-	-	-	6
2026-06-15	@ PHI	-4.1	-	-	-	1
2026-06-10	vs AZ	14.6	-	-	-	4
2026-06-05	vs TB	-1.9	-	-	-	1
2026-06-02	@ WSH	1.5	-	-	-	3
2026-04-08	vs CIN	4.2	-	-	-	1
2025-08-27	vs ATL	-13.6	-	-	-	2
2025-08-22	vs TOR	-1.9	-	-	-	0
2025-08-09	@ ATL	19.3	-	-	-	8
2025-07-30	vs WSH	18.5	-	-	-	5
2025-07-25	vs ATH	-4.5	-	-	-	5
2025-07-20	@ SEA	1.6	-	-	-	0
2025-07-19	@ SEA	4.2	-	-	-	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts