Mike VasilFITTED MODEL

P · CWS · MLB

5.4

Projection

-2.1

Floor (p10)

14.1

Ceiling (p90)

27%

Boom (1.5x)

36%

Bust (0.6x)

4.8

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2025-09-27	@ WSH	1.1	-	-	-	1
2025-09-25	@ NYY	1.2	-	-	-	1
2025-09-21	vs SD	10.3	-	-	-	3
2025-09-15	vs BAL	8.9	-	-	-	2
2025-09-10	vs TB	2.9	-	-	-	1
2025-09-07	@ DET	4.2	-	-	-	1
2025-09-03	@ MIN	0.5	-	-	-	1
2025-08-31	vs NYY	4.2	-	-	-	1
2025-08-29	vs NYY	6.1	-	-	-	4
2025-08-27	vs KC	5.9	-	-	-	1
2025-08-24	vs MIN	7.3	-	-	-	2
2025-08-20	@ ATL	5.2	-	-	-	1
2025-08-18	@ ATL	1.1	-	-	-	1
2025-08-16	@ KC	9.9	-	-	-	3
2025-08-12	vs DET	3.0	-	-	-	2

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts