Noah MurdockFITTED MODEL

P · ATH · MLB

0.1

Projection

-4.5

Floor (p10)

4.1

Ceiling (p90)

53%

Boom (1.5x)

46%

Bust (0.6x)

0.1

Avg (last 14)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2025-05-07	vs SEA	0.5	-	-	-	2
2025-05-06	vs SEA	5.7	-	-	-	2
2025-05-02	@ MIA	5.7	-	-	-	2
2025-04-29	@ TEX	-18.2	-	-	-	0
2025-04-26	vs CWS	0.3	-	-	-	3
2025-04-24	vs TEX	1.6	-	-	-	0
2025-04-20	@ MIL	-12.7	-	-	-	0
2025-04-17	@ CWS	6.5	-	-	-	2
2025-04-13	vs NYM	-3.5	-	-	-	1
2025-04-09	vs SD	5.3	-	-	-	1
2025-04-07	vs SD	6.4	-	-	-	2
2025-04-04	@ COL	9.3	-	-	-	3
2025-03-31	vs CHC	-12.6	-	-	-	1
2025-03-29	@ SEA	7.2	-	-	-	2

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts