Chad PatrickFITTED MODEL

P · MIL · MLB

6.1

Projection

-1.5

Floor (p10)

14.7

Ceiling (p90)

26%

Boom (1.5x)

33%

Bust (0.6x)

4.0

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-30	vs CIN	5.8	-	-	-	1
2026-06-29	vs CIN	6.4	-	-	-	2
2026-06-27	vs CHC	-8.9	-	-	-	0
2026-06-24	@ CIN	1.4	-	-	-	1
2026-06-21	@ ATL	5.0	-	-	-	2
2026-06-17	vs CLE	20.3	-	-	-	7
2026-06-13	vs PHI	-6.8	-	-	-	1
2026-06-10	@ ATH	-7.8	-	-	-	0
2026-06-08	@ ATH	5.7	-	-	-	2
2026-06-07	@ COL	5.2	-	-	-	1
2026-06-03	vs SF	14.0	-	-	-	4
2026-06-01	vs SF	4.2	-	-	-	1
2026-05-27	vs STL	11.4	-	-	-	4
2026-05-22	vs LAD	3.0	-	-	-	0
2026-05-19	@ CHC	0.8	-	-	-	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts