Justin TopaFITTED MODEL

P · MIN · MLB

0.4

Projection

-4.2

Floor (p10)

4.4

Ceiling (p90)

51%

Boom (1.5x)

45%

Bust (0.6x)

-0.1

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-05-18	vs HOU	-7.5	-	-	-	0
2026-05-17	vs MIL	0.9	-	-	-	0
2026-05-13	vs MIA	6.5	-	-	-	2
2026-05-06	@ WSH	-12.1	-	-	-	1
2026-05-03	vs TOR	-4.2	-	-	-	0
2026-05-02	vs TOR	0.9	-	-	-	1
2026-04-30	vs TOR	1.6	-	-	-	0
2026-04-26	@ TB	3.6	-	-	-	1
2026-04-22	@ NYM	-0.5	-	-	-	0
2026-04-21	@ NYM	4.2	-	-	-	1
2026-04-18	vs CIN	0.9	-	-	-	1
2026-04-17	vs CIN	1.6	-	-	-	0
2026-04-15	vs BOS	1.6	-	-	-	0
2026-04-12	@ TOR	1.6	-	-	-	0
2026-04-10	@ TOR	-0.9	-	-	-	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts