Ian GibautFITTED MODEL

P · CIN · MLB

1.6

Projection

-3.0

Floor (p10)

5.6

Ceiling (p90)

43%

Boom (1.5x)

38%

Bust (0.6x)

1.1

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2025-06-28	vs SD	2.2	-	-	-	0
2025-06-25	vs NYY	-4.3	-	-	-	0
2025-06-24	vs NYY	2.2	-	-	-	0
2025-06-21	@ STL	0.5	-	-	-	0
2025-06-19	vs MIN	1.9	-	-	-	0
2025-06-13	@ DET	0.6	-	-	-	0
2025-06-11	@ CLE	3.6	-	-	-	1
2025-06-09	@ CLE	3.6	-	-	-	1
2025-06-02	vs MIL	5.8	-	-	-	1
2025-05-28	@ KC	2.2	-	-	-	0
2025-05-27	@ KC	3.6	-	-	-	1
2025-05-23	vs CHC	-6.5	-	-	-	0
2025-05-21	@ PIT	0.3	-	-	-	0
2025-04-25	@ COL	-3.5	-	-	-	0
2025-04-23	@ MIA	3.6	-	-	-	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts