Gavin HollowellFITTED MODEL

P · CHC · MLB

2.0

Projection

-2.6

Floor (p10)

6.0

Ceiling (p90)

41%

Boom (1.5x)

36%

Bust (0.6x)

2.7

Avg (last 13)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-29	vs SD	6.4	-	-	-	2
2026-06-24	@ NYM	0.3	-	-	-	1
2026-06-19	vs TOR	1.6	-	-	-	0
2026-06-16	vs COL	3.6	-	-	-	1
2026-05-07	vs CIN	-1.9	-	-	-	1
2025-08-18	vs MIL	-3.7	-	-	-	2
2025-07-29	@ MIL	7.7	-	-	-	3
2025-05-11	@ NYM	-1.7	-	-	-	0
2025-05-09	@ NYM	5.7	-	-	-	2
2025-05-07	vs SF	-0.9	-	-	-	0
2025-05-05	vs SF	5.9	-	-	-	1
2025-04-22	vs LAD	8.5	-	-	-	2
2024-09-23	@ PHI	3.8	-	-	-	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts