Caleb KilianFITTED MODEL

P · SF · MLB

3.1

Projection

-1.3

Floor (p10)

6.9

Ceiling (p90)

30%

Boom (1.5x)

31%

Bust (0.6x)

2.6

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-07-01	@ AZ	6.2	-	-	-	2
2026-06-28	vs ATL	1.1	-	-	-	1
2026-06-25	vs ATH	-7.5	-	-	-	1
2026-06-23	vs ATH	3.0	-	-	-	1
2026-06-17	@ ATL	5.5	-	-	-	2
2026-06-16	@ ATL	5.5	-	-	-	2
2026-06-14	vs CHC	6.2	-	-	-	2
2026-06-13	vs CHC	5.7	-	-	-	2
2026-06-07	@ CHC	4.2	-	-	-	1
2026-06-06	@ CHC	3.0	-	-	-	1
2026-06-04	@ MIL	3.6	-	-	-	1
2026-06-02	@ MIL	0.3	-	-	-	0
2026-05-31	@ COL	5.7	-	-	-	2
2026-05-29	@ COL	-9.5	-	-	-	1
2026-05-27	vs AZ	6.5	-	-	-	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts