Isaac MattsonFITTED MODEL

P · PIT · MLB

2.3

Projection

-2.4

Floor (p10)

6.3

Ceiling (p90)

39%

Boom (1.5x)

35%

Bust (0.6x)

2.0

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-30	@ PHI	0.9	-	-	-	0
2026-06-27	vs CIN	6.2	-	-	-	2
2026-06-26	vs CIN	4.2	-	-	-	1
2026-06-23	vs SEA	4.2	-	-	-	1
2026-06-17	@ ATH	3.6	-	-	-	2
2026-06-14	vs MIA	3.8	-	-	-	1
2026-05-17	vs PHI	1.1	-	-	-	0
2026-05-16	vs PHI	6.4	-	-	-	2
2026-05-10	@ SF	-5.0	-	-	-	0
2026-05-07	@ AZ	2.8	-	-	-	1
2026-04-30	vs STL	-11.5	-	-	-	0
2026-04-27	vs STL	2.8	-	-	-	1
2026-04-25	@ MIL	2.2	-	-	-	0
2026-04-24	@ MIL	3.6	-	-	-	1
2026-04-19	vs TB	4.2	-	-	-	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts