Seth JohnsonFITTED MODEL

P · PHI · MLB

2.8

Projection

-1.6

Floor (p10)

6.5

Ceiling (p90)

33%

Boom (1.5x)

33%

Bust (0.6x)

3.3

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-07-01	vs PIT	-1.6	-	-	-	1
2026-06-29	vs PIT	11.2	-	-	-	4
2026-06-27	@ NYM	5.7	-	-	-	2
2026-06-24	@ WSH	2.2	-	-	-	0
2026-06-22	@ WSH	-3.5	-	-	-	0
2026-06-18	vs NYM	6.2	-	-	-	2
2026-04-20	@ CHC	5.0	-	-	-	2
2026-04-19	vs ATL	4.2	-	-	-	1
2026-04-13	vs CHC	-4.5	-	-	-	1
2025-08-04	vs BAL	13.9	-	-	-	5
2025-07-30	@ CWS	0.9	-	-	-	1
2025-07-28	@ CWS	-2.1	-	-	-	1
2025-07-26	@ NYY	5.7	-	-	-	2
2025-07-23	vs BOS	5.0	-	-	-	3
2025-07-20	vs LAA	1.1	-	-	-	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts