Scott EffrossFITTED MODEL

P · NYY · MLB

0.4

Projection

-4.2

Floor (p10)

4.4

Ceiling (p90)

50%

Boom (1.5x)

45%

Bust (0.6x)

0.7

Avg (last 14)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2025-07-25	vs PHI	-8.8	-	-	-	0
2025-07-23	@ TOR	-3.5	-	-	-	0
2025-07-21	@ TOR	1.6	-	-	-	0
2025-07-19	@ ATL	-2.5	-	-	-	0
2025-07-18	@ ATL	-0.8	-	-	-	0
2025-07-12	vs CHC	2.2	-	-	-	0
2025-07-11	vs CHC	3.6	-	-	-	1
2025-07-08	vs SEA	3.6	-	-	-	1
2025-07-05	@ NYM	1.1	-	-	-	2
2025-07-04	@ NYM	4.2	-	-	-	1
2025-06-17	vs LAA	3.6	-	-	-	1
2024-09-27	vs PIT	2.4	-	-	-	0
2024-09-04	@ TEX	6.4	-	-	-	2
2024-09-01	vs STL	-4.3	-	-	-	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts