Ben CaspariusFITTED MODEL

P · LAD · MLB

0.5

Projection

-4.1

Floor (p10)

4.5

Ceiling (p90)

50%

Boom (1.5x)

44%

Bust (0.6x)

1.6

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-04-12	vs TEX	-2.1	-	-	-	1
2026-04-08	@ TOR	-0.9	-	-	-	0
2026-04-04	@ WSH	-0.9	-	-	-	1
2026-04-03	@ WSH	4.2	-	-	-	1
2026-03-27	vs AZ	2.3	-	-	-	1
2025-09-05	@ BAL	0.9	-	-	-	0
2025-09-03	@ PIT	-0.2	-	-	-	0
2025-08-29	vs AZ	5.0	-	-	-	2
2025-08-26	vs CIN	3.0	-	-	-	3
2025-08-23	@ SD	2.2	-	-	-	0
2025-08-21	@ COL	0.1	-	-	-	0
2025-08-19	@ COL	3.6	-	-	-	1
2025-08-17	vs SD	2.9	-	-	-	1
2025-08-15	vs SD	1.6	-	-	-	0
2025-08-12	@ LAA	1.6	-	-	-	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts