Chase ShugartFITTED MODEL

P · PHI · MLB

2.9

Projection

-1.5

Floor (p10)

6.7

Ceiling (p90)

32%

Boom (1.5x)

32%

Bust (0.6x)

2.7

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-29	vs PIT	-1.6	-	-	-	2
2026-06-28	@ NYM	-5.7	-	-	-	1
2026-06-25	@ WSH	6.2	-	-	-	2
2026-06-23	@ WSH	1.6	0	0	0	1
2026-06-22	@ WSH	4.5	-	-	-	2
2026-06-17	vs MIA	-1.7	-	-	-	0
2026-06-15	vs MIA	3.6	-	-	-	1
2026-06-14	@ MIL	4.4	-	-	-	1
2026-06-12	@ MIL	3.6	-	-	-	1
2026-06-10	@ TOR	-7.7	-	-	-	0
2026-06-06	vs CWS	7.7	-	-	-	3
2026-05-31	@ LAD	2.5	-	-	-	2
2026-05-19	vs CIN	9.9	-	-	-	3
2026-05-15	@ PIT	5.9	-	-	-	1
2026-05-09	vs COL	7.7	-	-	-	3

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts