Michael McGreevyFITTED MODEL

P · STL · MLB

12.1

Projection

-0.7

Floor (p10)

24.0

Ceiling (p90)

28%

Boom (1.5x)

30%

Bust (0.6x)

11.6

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-07-01	@ ATL	13.1	-	-	-	3
2026-06-26	vs MIA	17.9	-	-	-	4
2026-06-19	@ KC	-0.1	-	-	-	2
2026-06-14	@ MIN	8.1	-	-	-	2
2026-06-07	vs CIN	16.5	-	-	-	5
2026-06-01	vs TEX	7.3	-	-	-	1
2026-05-26	@ MIL	5.0	-	-	-	6
2026-05-20	vs PIT	0.7	-	-	-	1
2026-05-14	@ ATH	13.9	-	-	-	3
2026-05-08	@ SD	29.7	-	-	-	9
2026-05-02	vs LAD	15.9	-	-	-	3
2026-04-26	vs SEA	20.5	-	-	-	6
2026-04-20	@ MIA	6.5	-	-	-	3
2026-04-14	vs CLE	8.2	-	-	-	2
2026-04-08	@ WSH	11.1	-	-	-	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts