Lyon RichardsonFITTED MODEL

P · CIN · MLB

0.7

Projection

-3.9

Floor (p10)

4.7

Ceiling (p90)

49%

Boom (1.5x)

43%

Bust (0.6x)

1.1

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-01	vs KC	-4.2	-	-	-	2
2026-05-30	vs ATL	0.9	-	-	-	1
2025-09-03	vs TOR	-6.2	-	-	-	0
2025-08-03	vs ATL	9.3	-	-	-	3
2025-08-02	vs ATL	9.3	-	-	-	3
2025-07-31	vs ATL	-6.4	-	-	-	0
2025-07-28	vs LAD	2.8	-	-	-	1
2025-07-25	vs TB	1.1	-	-	-	0
2025-07-22	@ WSH	2.2	-	-	-	0
2025-07-21	@ WSH	1.2	-	-	-	2
2025-07-11	vs COL	2.2	-	-	-	0
2025-07-08	vs MIA	0.5	-	-	-	0
2025-07-07	vs MIA	1.6	-	-	-	0
2025-07-04	@ PHI	-0.9	-	-	-	1
2025-07-02	@ BOS	2.7	-	-	-	2

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts