Alek JacobFITTED MODEL

P · SD · MLB

1.6

Projection

-3.0

Floor (p10)

5.6

Ceiling (p90)

43%

Boom (1.5x)

38%

Bust (0.6x)

0.9

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-05-16	@ SEA	-5.8	-	-	-	0
2026-04-15	vs SEA	8.7	-	-	-	3
2025-09-08	vs CIN	0.8	-	-	-	0
2025-09-05	@ COL	5.0	-	-	-	2
2025-09-02	vs BAL	2.7	-	-	-	1
2025-08-30	@ MIN	2.2	-	-	-	0
2025-08-29	@ MIN	6.0	-	-	-	1
2025-08-27	@ SEA	3.0	-	-	-	0
2025-07-20	@ WSH	5.3	-	-	-	1
2025-05-24	@ ATL	-3.2	-	-	-	2
2025-05-21	@ TOR	-13.3	-	-	-	1
2025-05-18	vs SEA	1.6	-	-	-	0
2025-05-17	vs SEA	-3.6	-	-	-	1
2025-05-14	vs LAA	1.6	-	-	-	0
2025-05-12	vs LAA	2.9	-	-	-	2

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts