Bailey HornFITTED MODEL

P · DET · MLB

3.1

Projection

-1.4

Floor (p10)

6.8

Ceiling (p90)

31%

Boom (1.5x)

31%

Bust (0.6x)

2.0

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2025-09-17	vs CLE	3.6	-	-	-	1
2025-09-16	vs CLE	2.9	-	-	-	1
2025-09-11	@ NYY	3.2	-	-	-	1
2025-09-05	vs CWS	1.6	-	-	-	1
2025-09-02	vs NYM	1.8	-	-	-	0
2025-08-17	@ MIN	10.1	-	-	-	3
2025-08-15	@ MIN	1.1	-	-	-	0
2025-07-06	@ CLE	-1.1	-	-	-	1
2025-07-03	@ WSH	1.1	-	-	-	0
2025-04-22	vs SD	6.4	-	-	-	2
2024-09-17	@ TB	-3.8	-	-	-	0
2024-09-15	@ NYY	0.1	-	-	-	0
2024-09-14	@ NYY	0.9	-	-	-	0
2024-08-26	vs TOR	0.8	-	-	-	0
2024-08-18	@ BAL	1.1	-	-	-	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts