David FestaFITTED MODEL

P · MIN · MLB

10.8

Projection

-2.0

Floor (p10)

22.7

Ceiling (p90)

30%

Boom (1.5x)

31%

Bust (0.6x)

10.5

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2025-07-21	@ LAD	11.0	-	-	-	5
2025-07-09	vs CHC	11.0	-	-	-	3
2025-07-03	@ MIA	15.9	-	-	-	7
2025-06-27	@ DET	22.9	-	-	-	6
2025-06-22	vs MIL	-8.5	-	-	-	3
2025-06-17	@ CIN	8.7	-	-	-	4
2025-06-11	vs TEX	14.5	-	-	-	4
2025-06-05	@ ATH	-0.6	-	-	-	6
2025-04-23	vs CWS	10.8	-	-	-	5
2025-04-16	vs NYM	17.6	-	-	-	6
2025-04-11	vs DET	15.5	-	-	-	4
2024-09-26	vs MIA	8.9	-	-	-	5
2024-09-20	@ BOS	17.1	-	-	-	6
2024-09-15	vs CIN	8.1	-	-	-	4
2024-09-09	vs LAA	4.8	-	-	-	4

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts