Michel OtañezFITTED MODEL

P · ATH · MLB

0.0

Projection

-4.6

Floor (p10)

4.0

Ceiling (p90)

53%

Boom (1.5x)

47%

Bust (0.6x)

2.0

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2025-05-27	@ HOU	-0.9	-	-	-	1
2025-05-24	vs PHI	-1.7	-	-	-	0
2025-05-21	vs LAA	-6.4	-	-	-	0
2025-05-19	vs LAA	10.5	-	-	-	3
2025-05-16	@ SF	-5.0	-	-	-	1
2025-05-14	@ LAD	3.8	-	-	-	1
2024-09-26	vs TEX	0.9	-	-	-	0
2024-09-22	vs NYY	-2.5	-	-	-	0
2024-09-20	vs NYY	3.6	-	-	-	1
2024-09-18	@ CHC	6.2	-	-	-	2
2024-09-17	@ CHC	0.3	-	-	-	0
2024-09-13	@ CWS	9.8	-	-	-	3
2024-09-10	@ HOU	5.7	-	-	-	2
2024-09-07	vs DET	2.9	-	-	-	1
2024-09-06	vs DET	2.1	-	-	-	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts