Dan AltavillaFITTED MODEL

P · CWS · MLB

2.4

Projection

-2.2

Floor (p10)

6.4

Ceiling (p90)

38%

Boom (1.5x)

34%

Bust (0.6x)

2.1

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2025-09-09	vs TB	5.5	-	-	-	2
2025-09-06	@ DET	6.2	-	-	-	2
2025-09-05	@ DET	-2.3	-	-	-	0
2025-08-01	@ LAA	-3.0	-	-	-	0
2025-07-29	vs PHI	5.9	-	-	-	1
2025-07-26	vs CHC	-7.0	-	-	-	0
2025-07-23	@ TB	0.5	-	-	-	0
2025-07-21	@ TB	2.2	-	-	-	0
2025-07-20	@ PIT	4.2	-	-	-	1
2025-07-18	@ PIT	3.6	-	-	-	1
2025-07-13	vs CLE	9.0	-	-	-	3
2025-07-11	vs CLE	2.5	-	-	-	0
2025-07-08	vs TOR	2.3	-	-	-	1
2025-07-06	@ COL	-1.1	-	-	-	0
2025-07-03	@ LAD	3.0	-	-	-	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts