Geoff HartliebFITTED MODEL

P · ATH · MLB

1.1

Projection

-3.6

Floor (p10)

5.1

Ceiling (p90)

46%

Boom (1.5x)

41%

Bust (0.6x)

0.5

Avg (last 13)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-30	vs LAD	-1.4	-	-	-	1
2026-06-27	@ LAA	-1.7	-	-	-	0
2026-06-25	@ SF	5.9	-	-	-	1
2026-06-20	vs LAA	4.3	-	-	-	1
2025-07-25	vs TOR	3.0	-	-	-	1
2025-07-24	vs TOR	-3.5	-	-	-	0
2025-07-08	vs SEA	-5.7	-	-	-	1
2025-07-01	@ TOR	-0.8	-	-	-	3
2024-06-21	vs WSH	2.4	-	-	-	2
2024-06-17	vs LAD	-6.5	-	-	-	1
2024-06-15	vs PIT	2.4	-	-	-	1
2024-06-12	@ MIN	3.0	-	-	-	1
2024-06-09	@ STL	4.7	-	-	-	2

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts