Ben JoyceFITTED MODEL

P · LAA · MLB

0.4

Projection

-4.2

Floor (p10)

4.4

Ceiling (p90)

50%

Boom (1.5x)

44%

Bust (0.6x)

2.3

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2025-04-08	@ TB	-7.7	-	-	-	0
2025-04-06	vs CLE	5.0	-	-	-	1
2025-04-01	@ STL	1.6	-	-	-	0
2025-03-30	@ CWS	1.5	-	-	-	0
2025-03-29	@ CWS	1.6	-	-	-	0
2024-09-03	vs LAD	6.2	-	-	-	2
2024-09-01	vs SEA	3.6	-	-	-	1
2024-08-31	vs SEA	3.0	-	-	-	1
2024-08-29	@ DET	6.4	-	-	-	2
2024-08-23	@ TOR	3.6	-	-	-	1
2024-08-20	@ KC	6.2	-	-	-	2
2024-08-16	vs ATL	5.2	-	-	-	1
2024-08-11	@ WSH	-4.8	-	-	-	0
2024-08-09	@ WSH	-0.6	-	-	-	0
2024-08-08	@ NYY	3.0	-	-	-	2

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts