Nick HernandezFITTED MODEL

P · HOU · MLB

2.2

Projection

-2.4

Floor (p10)

6.2

Ceiling (p90)

40%

Boom (1.5x)

35%

Bust (0.6x)

2.6

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2025-09-25	@ ATH	-5.8	-	-	-	0
2025-09-24	@ ATH	3.6	-	-	-	1
2025-09-21	vs SEA	3.6	-	-	-	1
2025-09-19	vs SEA	3.6	-	-	-	1
2025-09-12	@ ATL	3.6	-	-	-	1
2025-08-03	@ BOS	1.6	-	-	-	0
2025-08-02	@ BOS	1.6	-	-	-	0
2025-07-25	vs ATH	9.0	-	-	-	5
2025-06-21	@ LAA	3.0	-	-	-	1
2025-06-18	@ ATH	-2.1	-	-	-	1
2024-09-08	vs AZ	3.0	-	-	-	2
2024-09-06	vs AZ	4.2	-	-	-	1
2024-06-21	vs BAL	-6.6	-	-	-	2
2024-06-15	vs DET	14.4	-	-	-	5
2024-06-05	vs STL	2.2	-	-	-	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts