Adam MazurFITTED MODEL

P · MIA · MLB

7.7

Projection

0.1

Floor (p10)

16.3

Ceiling (p90)

22%

Boom (1.5x)

29%

Bust (0.6x)

5.1

Avg (last 14)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2025-09-20	@ TEX	4.8	-	-	-	2
2025-09-14	vs DET	19.7	-	-	-	4
2025-09-09	vs WSH	-2.9	-	-	-	1
2025-09-02	@ WSH	9.5	-	-	-	5
2025-08-28	@ NYM	5.4	-	-	-	2
2025-06-18	vs PHI	9.3	-	-	-	5
2024-07-26	@ BAL	3.6	-	-	-	1
2024-07-09	vs SEA	5.9	-	-	-	6
2024-07-03	@ TEX	4.8	-	-	-	4
2024-06-25	vs WSH	-0.9	-	-	-	0
2024-06-20	vs MIL	5.7	-	-	-	3
2024-06-15	@ NYM	6.8	-	-	-	4
2024-06-09	vs AZ	-11.8	-	-	-	2
2024-06-04	@ LAA	11.9	-	-	-	2

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts