Spencer SchwellenbachFITTED MODEL

P · ATL · MLB

19.2

Projection

6.4

Floor (p10)

31.1

Ceiling (p90)

16%

Boom (1.5x)

21%

Bust (0.6x)

18.0

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2025-06-28	vs PHI	35.4	-	-	-	12
2025-06-23	@ NYM	16.8	-	-	-	4
2025-06-17	vs NYM	18.9	-	-	-	8
2025-06-11	@ MIL	33.8	-	-	-	9
2025-06-06	@ SF	10.7	-	-	-	4
2025-05-31	vs BOS	33.2	-	-	-	11
2025-05-25	vs SD	29.6	-	-	-	11
2025-05-18	@ BOS	9.6	-	-	-	3
2025-05-13	vs WSH	14.2	-	-	-	3
2025-05-08	vs CIN	21.9	-	-	-	6
2025-05-03	vs LAD	-1.8	-	-	-	4
2025-04-27	@ AZ	14.7	-	-	-	6
2025-04-21	vs STL	16.9	-	-	-	5
2025-04-15	@ TOR	-0.3	-	-	-	3
2025-04-10	vs PHI	16.1	-	-	-	5

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts