Porter HodgeFITTED MODEL

P · CHC · MLB

2.1

Projection

-2.5

Floor (p10)

6.1

Ceiling (p90)

40%

Boom (1.5x)

36%

Bust (0.6x)

2.3

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2025-09-19	@ CIN	-2.1	-	-	-	2
2025-09-17	@ PIT	5.7	-	-	-	2
2025-09-15	@ PIT	-0.3	-	-	-	0
2025-09-13	vs TB	3.0	-	-	-	2
2025-09-12	vs TB	4.2	-	-	-	1
2025-09-10	@ ATL	5.5	-	-	-	2
2025-09-07	vs WSH	3.6	-	-	-	1
2025-09-05	vs WSH	6.2	-	-	-	2
2025-09-03	vs ATL	4.2	-	-	-	1
2025-08-31	@ COL	1.9	-	-	-	2
2025-07-08	@ MIN	-12.8	-	-	-	1
2025-07-05	vs STL	6.2	-	-	-	2
2025-07-04	vs STL	6.2	-	-	-	2
2025-06-28	@ HOU	1.6	-	-	-	1
2025-06-25	@ STL	1.6	-	-	-	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts