Sam LongFITTED MODEL

P · KC · MLB

1.7

Projection

-3.0

Floor (p10)

5.7

Ceiling (p90)

43%

Boom (1.5x)

38%

Bust (0.6x)

1.9

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2025-09-28	@ ATH	-3.5	-	-	-	0
2025-09-23	@ LAA	-1.6	-	-	-	0
2025-09-16	vs SEA	1.1	-	-	-	0
2025-09-13	@ PHI	1.5	-	-	-	0
2025-09-12	@ PHI	5.0	-	-	-	2
2025-09-10	@ CLE	-0.5	-	-	-	0
2025-09-07	vs MIN	6.2	-	-	-	2
2025-09-06	vs MIN	3.6	0	0	0	1
2025-08-31	vs DET	4.5	-	-	-	2
2025-08-29	vs DET	1.6	-	-	-	0
2025-08-26	@ CWS	1.6	-	-	-	0
2025-08-25	@ CWS	3.6	-	-	-	1
2025-08-23	@ DET	1.1	-	-	-	1
2025-08-20	vs TEX	2.9	-	-	-	1
2025-08-17	vs CWS	1.1	-	-	-	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts