Kevin HergetFITTED MODEL

P · NYM · MLB

3.3

Projection

-1.2

Floor (p10)

7.5

Ceiling (p90)

29%

Boom (1.5x)

32%

Bust (0.6x)

4.1

Avg (last 14)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2025-09-26	@ MIA	3.6	-	-	-	1
2025-09-06	@ CIN	5.2	-	-	-	1
2025-09-02	@ DET	-2.4	-	-	-	1
2025-08-28	vs MIA	9.4	-	-	-	2
2025-07-21	vs LAA	4.0	-	-	-	0
2025-07-01	vs LAA	0.5	-	-	-	0
2025-04-29	vs AZ	2.7	-	-	-	1
2024-09-21	vs AZ	1.5	-	-	-	0
2024-09-20	vs AZ	7.3	-	-	-	2
2024-06-09	@ DET	4.2	-	-	-	1
2024-06-02	vs CWS	13.3	-	-	-	5
2024-05-31	vs CWS	5.9	-	-	-	1
2024-05-10	vs STL	0.3	0	0	0	0
2024-05-08	@ KC	1.5	-	-	-	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts