Chris RoycroftFITTED MODEL

P · STL · MLB

0.0

Projection

-4.6

Floor (p10)

4.0

Ceiling (p90)

Boom (1.5x)

Bust (0.6x)

-0.1

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-17	vs SD	-5.2	-	-	-	1
2026-06-13	@ MIN	-2.5	-	-	-	0
2026-04-04	@ DET	-0.1	-	-	-	2
2026-04-03	@ DET	4.2	-	-	-	1
2026-04-01	vs NYM	-0.5	-	-	-	0
2026-03-29	vs TB	-4.2	-	-	-	0
2026-03-26	vs TB	-3.0	-	-	-	0
2025-09-26	@ CHC	-3.2	-	-	-	1
2025-09-23	@ SF	1.9	-	-	-	0
2025-09-15	vs CIN	-7.0	-	-	-	0
2025-09-12	@ MIL	3.0	-	-	-	1
2025-09-05	vs SF	6.5	-	-	-	3
2025-09-01	vs ATH	2.5	-	-	-	1
2025-06-11	vs TOR	5.9	-	-	-	1
2025-06-10	vs TOR	0.5	-	-	-	2

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts