Sam HentgesFITTED MODEL

P · SF · MLB

2.0

Projection

-2.6

Floor (p10)

6.0

Ceiling (p90)

41%

Boom (1.5x)

36%

Bust (0.6x)

1.5

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-29	@ AZ	-1.1	-	-	-	0
2026-06-27	vs ATL	4.2	-	-	-	1
2026-06-26	vs ATL	2.9	-	-	-	1
2026-06-24	vs ATH	0.8	-	-	-	0
2026-06-19	@ MIA	-5.0	-	-	-	0
2026-06-17	@ ATL	3.6	-	-	-	1
2026-06-13	vs CHC	5.0	-	-	-	2
2026-06-12	vs CHC	2.2	-	-	-	0
2026-06-09	vs WSH	1.7	-	-	-	1
2026-06-06	@ CHC	-0.6	0	0	0	0
2026-06-04	@ MIL	2.9	-	-	-	1
2026-06-02	@ MIL	-2.5	-	-	-	0
2026-05-30	@ COL	0.6	-	-	-	1
2026-05-25	vs AZ	2.3	-	-	-	1
2026-05-23	vs CWS	5.7	-	-	-	2

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts