Colin SelbyFITTED MODEL

P · BAL · MLB

3.5

Projection

-0.9

Floor (p10)

7.8

Ceiling (p90)

28%

Boom (1.5x)

31%

Bust (0.6x)

3.6

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2025-09-26	@ NYY	7.9	-	-	-	2
2025-09-23	vs TB	2.2	-	-	-	0
2025-07-28	vs TOR	1.6	-	-	-	0
2025-07-23	@ CLE	0.5	-	-	-	1
2025-07-21	@ CLE	-0.8	-	-	-	0
2025-07-18	@ TB	3.6	-	-	-	1
2025-07-13	vs MIA	-1.6	-	-	-	0
2025-06-16	@ TB	13.3	-	-	-	5
2025-05-10	@ LAA	5.2	-	-	-	1
2025-04-26	@ DET	6.2	-	-	-	2
2025-04-09	@ AZ	0.5	-	-	-	2
2024-09-29	@ MIN	3.6	-	-	-	1
2024-08-21	@ NYM	4.0	-	-	-	1
2024-08-19	@ NYM	9.0	-	-	-	3
2024-05-04	vs TEX	-1.9	-	-	-	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts