Brad KellerFITTED MODEL

P · PHI · MLB

2.5

Projection

-2.2

Floor (p10)

6.5

Ceiling (p90)

37%

Boom (1.5x)

34%

Bust (0.6x)

2.3

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-13	@ MIL	-4.8	-	-	-	1
2026-06-10	@ TOR	1.5	-	-	-	0
2026-06-08	@ TOR	3.0	-	-	-	1
2026-06-05	vs CWS	1.6	-	-	-	0
2026-06-03	vs SD	-0.1	-	-	-	1
2026-06-02	vs SD	1.1	-	-	-	0
2026-05-30	@ LAD	4.2	-	-	-	1
2026-05-26	@ SD	0.5	-	-	-	1
2026-05-25	@ SD	3.6	-	-	-	1
2026-05-23	vs CLE	4.2	-	-	-	1
2026-05-20	vs CIN	2.2	-	-	-	0
2026-05-18	vs CIN	1.6	-	-	-	1
2026-05-14	@ BOS	5.7	-	-	-	2
2026-05-13	@ BOS	8.2	-	-	-	3
2026-05-08	vs COL	2.5	-	-	-	2

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts