Kyle NicolasFITTED MODEL

P · CIN · MLB

0.6

Projection

-4.1

Floor (p10)

4.5

Ceiling (p90)

50%

Boom (1.5x)

44%

Bust (0.6x)

1.7

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-04-24	vs DET	-0.8	-	-	-	0
2026-04-21	@ TB	-5.3	-	-	-	2
2026-04-19	@ MIN	3.0	-	-	-	1
2026-04-18	@ MIN	8.2	-	-	-	3
2026-04-16	vs SF	1.5	-	-	-	0
2026-04-12	vs LAA	2.1	-	-	-	0
2026-04-10	vs LAA	-4.9	-	-	-	1
2025-09-26	@ ATL	5.7	-	-	-	2
2025-09-25	@ CIN	9.2	-	-	-	3
2025-09-19	vs ATH	3.6	-	-	-	1
2025-09-17	vs CHC	2.9	-	-	-	1
2025-09-15	vs CHC	7.3	-	-	-	2
2025-09-12	@ WSH	-6.9	-	-	-	1
2025-09-10	@ BAL	-1.8	-	-	-	0
2025-09-09	@ BAL	2.2	-	-	-	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts