Zack KellyFITTED MODEL

P · BOS · MLB

2.3

Projection

-2.3

Floor (p10)

6.3

Ceiling (p90)

39%

Boom (1.5x)

35%

Bust (0.6x)

2.4

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-05-19	@ KC	0.9	-	-	-	0
2026-05-14	vs PHI	1.7	-	-	-	1
2026-05-12	vs PHI	4.2	-	-	-	1
2026-05-10	vs TB	-2.5	-	-	-	0
2026-05-06	@ DET	5.0	-	-	-	2
2026-05-03	vs HOU	-1.6	-	-	-	0
2026-05-01	vs HOU	5.8	-	-	-	2
2026-04-28	@ TOR	5.0	-	-	-	2
2026-04-26	@ BAL	0.8	-	-	-	0
2026-04-22	vs NYY	6.2	-	-	-	2
2026-04-20	vs DET	5.2	-	-	-	1
2026-04-18	vs DET	1.6	-	-	-	0
2026-04-12	@ STL	5.9	-	-	-	2
2026-04-10	@ STL	-4.3	-	-	-	0
2026-04-07	vs MIL	1.5	-	-	-	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts