Andrew SaalfrankFITTED MODEL

P · AZ · MLB

2.8

Projection

-1.6

Floor (p10)

6.5

Ceiling (p90)

33%

Boom (1.5x)

33%

Bust (0.6x)

2.6

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2025-09-26	@ SD	1.1	-	-	-	0
2025-09-24	vs LAD	1.6	-	-	-	0
2025-09-16	vs SF	4.2	-	-	-	1
2025-09-12	@ MIN	0.1	-	-	-	0
2025-09-10	@ SF	-0.8	-	-	-	0
2025-09-05	vs BOS	3.6	-	-	-	1
2025-09-03	vs TEX	3.6	-	-	-	1
2025-09-01	vs TEX	4.2	-	-	-	1
2025-08-30	@ LAD	3.8	-	-	-	1
2025-08-27	@ MIL	7.2	-	-	-	2
2025-08-26	@ MIL	4.2	0	0	0	1
2025-08-22	vs CIN	2.2	-	-	-	0
2025-08-20	vs CLE	3.5	-	-	-	1
2025-08-19	vs CLE	4.2	-	-	-	1
2025-08-16	@ COL	-3.7	-	-	-	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts