Jacob BarnesFITTED MODEL

P · TOR · MLB

0.7

Projection

-3.9

Floor (p10)

4.7

Ceiling (p90)

49%

Boom (1.5x)

43%

Bust (0.6x)

0.5

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2025-04-19	vs SEA	-6.8	-	-	-	1
2025-04-14	vs ATL	4.5	-	-	-	0
2025-04-08	@ BOS	3.0	-	-	-	1
2025-04-04	@ NYM	5.8	-	-	-	1
2025-03-29	vs BAL	0.6	-	-	-	2
2025-03-27	vs BAL	-3.0	-	-	-	0
2024-09-26	vs KC	0.8	-	-	-	0
2024-09-25	vs KC	1.6	-	-	-	0
2024-09-22	@ CHC	3.0	-	-	-	1
2024-09-18	@ NYM	1.4	-	-	-	2
2024-09-16	@ NYM	-0.5	-	-	-	0
2024-09-10	vs ATL	0.3	-	-	-	1
2024-09-07	@ PIT	-2.5	-	-	-	1
2024-09-07	@ PIT	-1.9	-	-	-	0
2024-09-04	@ MIA	1.1	-	-	-	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts