Sam MollFITTED MODEL

P · CIN · MLB

2.3

Projection

-2.3

Floor (p10)

6.3

Ceiling (p90)

38%

Boom (1.5x)

35%

Bust (0.6x)

1.8

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-07-02	@ MIL	4.4	-	-	-	1
2026-06-29	@ MIL	1.6	-	-	-	1
2026-06-27	@ PIT	-2.3	-	-	-	0
2026-06-24	vs MIL	-6.2	-	-	-	0
2026-06-22	vs MIL	6.2	-	-	-	2
2026-06-21	@ NYY	3.0	-	-	-	1
2026-06-16	vs NYM	0.5	-	-	-	2
2026-06-14	vs AZ	2.2	-	-	-	0
2026-06-09	@ SD	4.9	-	-	-	2
2026-06-07	@ STL	-1.8	-	-	-	0
2026-06-06	@ STL	-0.9	-	-	-	1
2026-06-02	vs KC	5.0	-	-	-	2
2026-05-31	vs ATL	0.1	-	-	-	0
2026-05-30	vs ATL	2.8	-	-	-	1
2026-05-26	@ NYM	7.8	-	-	-	2

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts