Jacob LopezFITTED MODEL

P · ATH · MLB

4.8

Projection

-2.7

Floor (p10)

13.5

Ceiling (p90)

29%

Boom (1.5x)

38%

Bust (0.6x)

6.4

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-05-31	vs NYY	-7.7	-	-	-	3
2026-05-24	@ SD	10.3	-	-	-	3
2026-05-19	@ LAA	-1.8	-	-	-	2
2026-05-14	vs STL	7.0	-	-	-	2
2026-05-08	@ BAL	15.0	-	-	-	5
2026-05-02	vs CLE	4.6	-	-	-	5
2026-04-26	@ TEX	0.5	-	-	-	1
2026-04-21	@ SEA	4.6	-	-	-	1
2026-04-16	vs TEX	13.1	-	-	-	5
2026-04-11	@ NYM	5.2	-	-	-	5
2026-04-05	vs HOU	10.9	-	-	-	6
2026-03-30	@ ATL	-3.6	-	-	-	0
2025-08-24	@ SEA	-16.7	-	-	-	2
2025-08-19	@ MIN	22.5	-	-	-	8
2025-08-12	vs TB	31.4	-	-	-	9

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts