Ben LivelyFITTED MODEL

P · CLE · MLB

10.5

Projection

-2.3

Floor (p10)

22.5

Ceiling (p90)

30%

Boom (1.5x)

32%

Bust (0.6x)

8.8

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2025-05-12	vs MIL	7.0	-	-	-	1
2025-05-06	@ WSH	13.6	-	-	-	3
2025-05-01	vs MIN	13.8	-	-	-	2
2025-04-26	vs BOS	5.8	-	-	-	4
2025-04-19	@ PIT	15.0	-	-	-	3
2025-04-13	vs KC	10.1	-	-	-	5
2025-04-08	vs CWS	16.2	-	-	-	4
2025-04-02	@ SD	4.3	-	-	-	4
2025-03-27	@ KC	8.8	-	-	-	3
2024-09-28	vs HOU	7.0	-	-	-	4
2024-09-20	@ STL	10.8	-	-	-	2
2024-09-15	vs TB	12.2	-	-	-	2
2024-09-10	@ CWS	7.9	-	-	-	2
2024-09-04	@ KC	2.2	-	-	-	3
2024-08-30	vs PIT	-2.2	-	-	-	3

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts