Michael LorenzenFITTED MODEL

P · COL · MLB

5.2

Projection

-2.4

Floor (p10)

13.8

Ceiling (p90)

28%

Boom (1.5x)

36%

Bust (0.6x)

6.2

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-07-02	vs MIA	-2.2	-	-	-	1
2026-06-27	@ MIN	6.0	-	-	-	1
2026-06-21	vs PIT	9.2	-	-	-	5
2026-06-15	@ CHC	15.1	-	-	-	5
2026-06-10	vs CHC	20.9	-	-	-	7
2026-06-03	@ LAA	-5.7	-	-	-	5
2026-05-29	vs SF	2.0	-	-	-	2
2026-05-23	@ AZ	5.8	-	-	-	5
2026-05-17	vs AZ	1.3	-	-	-	5
2026-05-12	@ PIT	13.1	-	-	-	5
2026-05-06	vs NYM	-7.2	-	-	-	2
2026-04-30	@ CIN	9.8	-	-	-	5
2026-04-24	@ NYM	15.6	-	-	-	3
2026-04-19	vs LAD	6.5	-	-	-	3
2026-04-14	@ HOU	3.2	-	-	-	3

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts