Caleb ThielbarFITTED MODEL

P · CHC · MLB

2.6

Projection

-2.0

Floor (p10)

6.6

Ceiling (p90)

36%

Boom (1.5x)

33%

Bust (0.6x)

2.7

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-29	vs SD	-0.5	-	-	-	0
2026-06-28	@ MIL	5.7	-	-	-	2
2026-06-25	@ NYM	6.2	-	-	-	2
2026-06-24	@ NYM	5.7	-	-	-	2
2026-06-20	vs TOR	-4.5	-	-	-	0
2026-06-17	vs COL	2.9	-	-	-	1
2026-06-15	vs COL	1.1	-	-	-	2
2026-06-13	@ SF	5.8	-	-	-	1
2026-06-10	@ COL	7.0	-	-	-	2
2026-06-06	vs SF	2.9	-	-	-	2
2026-06-05	vs SF	2.2	-	-	-	0
2026-06-03	vs ATH	-4.3	-	-	-	0
2026-05-28	@ PIT	5.0	-	-	-	2
2026-05-27	@ PIT	3.6	-	-	-	1
2026-05-24	vs HOU	1.1	-	-	-	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts