Shawn DubinFITTED MODEL

P · BAL · MLB

2.1

Projection

-2.5

Floor (p10)

6.1

Ceiling (p90)

40%

Boom (1.5x)

36%

Bust (0.6x)

1.0

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2025-09-12	@ TOR	-3.2	-	-	-	1
2025-09-10	vs PIT	2.3	-	-	-	1
2025-09-06	vs LAD	1.5	-	-	-	0
2025-09-03	@ SD	7.7	-	-	-	3
2025-09-02	@ SD	1.6	-	-	-	0
2025-08-30	@ SF	7.3	-	-	-	2
2025-08-28	vs BOS	2.2	-	-	-	0
2025-08-22	@ BAL	-2.0	-	-	-	0
2025-08-20	@ DET	4.2	-	-	-	1
2025-08-17	vs BAL	-6.8	-	-	-	1
2025-08-15	vs BAL	-2.8	-	-	-	1
2025-08-12	vs BOS	-9.7	-	-	-	0
2025-06-20	@ LAA	0.9	-	-	-	1
2025-06-18	@ ATH	10.5	-	-	-	3
2025-06-16	@ ATH	1.6	-	-	-	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts