Keegan ThompsonFITTED MODEL

P · COL · MLB

2.9

Projection

-1.5

Floor (p10)

6.6

Ceiling (p90)

32%

Boom (1.5x)

32%

Bust (0.6x)

2.8

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-07	vs MIL	2.6	-	-	-	3
2026-06-03	@ LAA	3.0	-	-	-	3
2026-05-31	vs SF	0.1	-	-	-	2
2026-05-29	vs SF	1.6	-	-	-	1
2026-05-23	@ AZ	7.0	-	-	-	2
2024-09-29	vs CIN	-0.6	-	-	-	0
2024-09-25	@ PHI	4.5	-	-	-	1
2024-09-21	vs WSH	0.9	-	-	-	1
2024-09-18	vs OAK	3.6	-	-	-	1
2024-09-15	@ COL	-1.6	-	-	-	0
2024-09-11	@ LAD	1.6	-	-	-	0
2024-09-09	@ LAD	4.5	-	-	-	1
2024-09-06	vs NYY	5.9	-	-	-	1
2024-09-01	@ WSH	5.9	-	-	-	1
2024-08-30	@ WSH	2.8	-	-	-	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts