Sonny GrayFITTED MODEL

P · BOS · MLB

15.4

Projection

2.6

Floor (p10)

27.3

Ceiling (p90)

22%

Boom (1.5x)

25%

Bust (0.6x)

15.4

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-06-28	vs NYY	33.3	-	-	-	9
2026-06-23	@ COL	30.4	-	-	-	11
2026-06-18	vs TOR	13.6	-	-	-	4
2026-06-12	vs TEX	22.5	-	-	-	7
2026-06-05	@ NYY	8.2	-	-	-	3
2026-05-30	@ CLE	21.3	-	-	-	7
2026-05-24	vs MIN	5.6	-	-	-	4
2026-05-18	@ KC	25.3	-	-	-	9
2026-05-13	vs PHI	21.7	-	-	-	6
2026-05-06	@ DET	11.7	-	-	-	2
2026-04-20	vs DET	5.6	-	-	-	2
2026-04-14	@ MIN	-5.6	-	-	-	1
2026-04-08	vs MIL	15.2	-	-	-	2
2026-04-03	vs SD	13.1	-	-	-	3
2026-03-28	@ CIN	8.8	-	-	-	5

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts